Diabetes
is a chronic disease that affects more than 540 million people worldwide and is
one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. In China, there
are more than 114 million adults with diabetes, accounting for about a quarter
of the world's diabetes patients. With the change of living and eating habits,
diabetes has become the third major factor affecting human health after
cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and malignant tumors, bringing a
heavy physical and mental burden to individuals and families.
On
June 22, 2023, a research paper entitled "Global, regional, and national
burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a
systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021" was
published in the authoritative journal The Lancet. Based on the latest evidence
and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk
Factors Study (GBD), researchers at the Institute for Evaluation (IHME)
produced site-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes
prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, and estimated the proportion of type 1
and type 2 diabetes in 2021, the proportion of type 2 diabetes burden
attributable to selected risk factors, and projections of diabetes prevalence
to 2050.
1. Introduction of Diabetes
Diabetes is a serious chronic disease
characterized by elevated blood sugar concentrations associated with the
effects of abnormal beta cell biology on insulin action. Diabetes occurs when
the pancreas does not produce enough insulin or the body does not use the
insulin it does produce efficiently. Diabetes is the eighth leading cause of
death and disability worldwide and a leading cause of ischaemic heart disease,
blindness, kidney failure, stroke and lower limb amputation.
The
most common forms of diabetes are type 1
diabetes and type 2 diabetes. Type 1 diabetes (once known as
insulin-dependent diabetes or juvenile onset diabetes) is characterized by
insufficient insulin production and the need for daily insulin intakes, and it
is unclear what causes it. More than 95 percent of people with diabetes have
type 2 diabetes (formerly known as non-insulin-dependent diabetes or
adult-onset diabetes), which is characterized by the body's abnormal use of
insulin that affects the body's use of glucose for energy, mainly due to
obesity, physical inactivity and genetics.
2. Diabetes Prevalence
Assessment
In
2021, there will be approximately 529 million diabetic patients of all ages in
the world, and the global age-standardized prevalence rate is about 6.1%.
Researchers estimate that there will be approximately 485 million diabetic
patients aged 20-79, of which 43 countries and regions have an age-standardized
diabetes prevalence rate of more than 10%.
From
the perspective of different genders, in 140 (68.6%) countries, the incidence
of diabetes in men is higher than that in women, with the incidence rate of
6.5% in men and 5.8% in women.
From
the perspective of different ages, the total prevalence of diabetes in the age
group under 20 years old is less than 1%; the total prevalence of diabetes is
particularly obvious in people aged 65 and over, with an incidence of more than
20%; the global prevalence of diabetes peaks at 24.4% between the ages of 75
and 79.
Globally,
the DALYs (disability-adjusted life years) caused by diabetes are 79.2 million.
In China, the DALYs of diabetes in 2021 are 11.7 million, and the change rate
of DALYs from 1990 to 2021 is 172.9%.
From
the perspective of disease type, in all 204 countries and regions, type 2
diabetes cases accounted for more than 80% of all diabetes cases, and in 183
countries and regions with more than 89.7%, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes
accounted for 96%.
From
the perspective of risk factors, 76.5% of DALYs (disability-adjusted life
years) caused by type 2 diabetes can be attributed to risk factors. Obesity
(high BMI) is the main risk factor, accounting for 52.2% of type 2 diabetes
DALYs, followed by diet (25.7%), environmental or occupational risks (19.6%),
smoking (12.1%), lack of exercise (7.4%), and alcohol consumption (1.8%). From
1990 to 2021, the proportion of DALYs caused by high BMI increased in every
country and region in the world, from 42.2% in 1990 to 52.2% in 2021.
The
changes in the prevalence of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, and the forecast of
the prevalence to 2050 are as follows.
Between
1990 and 2021, the global age-standardized diabetes prevalence increased by
90.5%, from 3.2% to 6.1%. In 97 of the 100 countries (47.5%) the
age-standardized prevalence of diabetes increased by more than 204%.
From
2021 to 2050, the global age-standardized total prevalence of diabetes is
expected to increase by 59.7%, from 6.1% to 9.8%, and 1.31 billion people will
have diabetes by 2050, with an annualized rate of change of 3.31%. Of this
increase, 49.6 percent was driven by obesity trends and the remaining 50.4
percent was driven by demographic changes.
The
increase in the overall prevalence of diabetes is expected to be primarily
driven by the increase in type 2 diabetes. The global age-standardized
prevalence of type 2 diabetes is projected to increase by 61.2%, from 5.9% in
2021 to 9.5% in 2050, affecting more than 1.27 billion people. The global
age-standardized prevalence of type 1 diabetes is projected to increase by
23.9%, from 0.2% in 2021 to 0.3% in 2050.
3. Diabetes Treatment
And Prevention
Type
1 diabetes is treated with insulin injections. The majority of diabetic
patients are obesity-induced patients, that is, type 2 diabetes patients. Type
2 diabetes mainly uses hypoglycemic drugs to control blood sugar, and often
requires life-long medication, such as metformin, sulfonylureas, or sodium-glucose
cotransporter type 2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, etc. If the islet
function is reduced or insulin secretion is too low, insulin injection therapy
also needs to be considered. Non-drug-assisted treatment of type 2 diabetes is
mainly diet control and exercise. Most type 2 diabetes is caused by obesity.
Obese people have abnormal fat distribution and excessive accumulation, which
will lead to insulin resistance and overload the pancreas. Weight loss can be
used to regulate lipid metabolism, thereby affecting glucose metabolism, and
repairing lipid metabolism to achieve the goal of balancing glucose metabolism.
For
ordinary people, if you want to prevent diabetes, you must first monitor your
blood sugar and have regular physical examinations; in addition, you must
maintain a healthy diet, reduce your sugar intake, and eat more low-glycemic
foods (mainly coarse grains and other foods), work and rest, and do some
aerobic exercise appropriately; of course, the most important thing is to
maintain a healthy weight, and eliminating obesity is the most effective
measure to treat and prevent diabetes.
4.Conclusion
The
continuous and rising prevalence of diabetes has brought great public health
challenges to the world. Governments and public health departments around the
world are increasingly concerned about the soaring prevalence of diabetes and
its impact on healthcare systems and society.
At
current rates of prevalence, more than 1.31 billion people are projected to be
living with diabetes by 2050, the majority of them with type 2 diabetes.
Addressing the escalating challenges of diabetes prevention and the barriers to
managing diabetes and its complications will become an essential part of
healthcare delivery globally. There is an urgent need to address the unfavorable
trends in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes risk factors, especially obesity.
If new and more effective countermeasures are not taken, diabetes will continue
to have increasingly serious negative impacts on the quality of life of
individuals, population health and social productive activities in the coming
decades.
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