If COVID-19 antibodies decline after 2-3 months, are COVID-19 antibody tests really USELESS?
Keywords: SARS-CoV-2, herd immunity, immunity passport, neutralizing antibody
Introduction
As the pandemics of COVID-19 is still ongoing, we are all anxious to know whether herd immunity might stop or slow down the spread of the disease, and if the "immunity passport" works while we gradually re-open the community, which relies on the duration and strength of the immunity.
A new study published on Jun 18, 2020 in Nature medicine reported that antibodies decrease within 2-3 months after initial infection (Quan-Xin Long, 2020), suggesting whether achieving herd immunity is possible and if the antibody test would only be effective in the immediate few month postinfection.
Dr. Huang and his colleagues compared the antibody response in the Wanzhou District. 37 asymptomatic people and 37 symptomatic people were followed up for 8 weeks. Asymptomatic people showed weaker immune responses, and antibodies from both asymptomatic and symptomatic people dropped to undetectable levels in 40% vs. 12.9% of the people tested. (Quan-Xin Long, 2020)
Since this study was released, it has instigated the notion that immunity against SARS-CoV-2 is short term. Furthermore, this controversial notion was covered extensively by mainstream media (i.e.: CNBC) and widely interpreted that antibody tests which detect virus specific antibodies are useless and the idea of "immunity passport" is risky.
Before we make such conclusions, we may need to consider how adaptive immunity works and how it protects us from reinfection? Especially whether it is right for us to infer that the decline in the level of antibodies really translates to loss of immunity towards SARS-CoV-2.
Decrease of antibodies may not correlate directly to the loss of long-term immunity
1. Decline of antibody level during convalescence stage is quite normal
A previous study of 2009 Influenza Pandemic in Norway shown that IgG antibody levels dropped significantly between 3 and 32 weeks post-infection in the convalescent patients, while severely ill patients have higher antibody responses than patients with mild disease, (Mohn, 2015) which also correlate with Dr. Huang's study in Nature Medicine. (Quan-Xin Long, 2020) Maintaining a high level of antibodies may relate more to the disease status than the immunity against reinfection. The cytokine level in asymptomatic vs. symptomatic people in the same paper also suggests the infection status vs. antibody level. (Quan-Xin Long, 2020) Decline of antibody levels during the convalescence stage is quite normal.
2. Long-term immunity memory can quickly kick in during reinfection
After initial infection, the body generates antibodies of various isotypes that can be reactivated upon antigen re-exposure. Two major cell types are responsible for the long-term immunity memory: long-lived plasma cells (LLPC) and memory b cells (MBC). LLPCs reside in bone marrow and is also found in gut-associated lymphoid tissue (GALT) in recent studies. (Differences between Primary and Secondary Immune Response, 2018)
Long-lived, pathogen-specific antibodies keep titers in serum that lasts decades following infection or vaccination, continue to secrete antibodies without the presence of the antigen. (Shivana M. Lightman*, 2019) (Brandtzaeg P, 2005) Neutralizing antibodies, including IgG and IgA, resides in LLPC and are expressing continuously in a low basal level independent from antigen re-exposure. The vicinity of LLPCs niche also enables the close contact of neutralizing antibodies to pathogens, prohibiting the virus from amplification before MBC takes several days to elevate the total antibody level. (Charles A Janeway, 2001) (Barbara J. Hebeis, 2004) (Tomohiro Kurosaki, 2015)
Figure 1. Differences in the Primary and Secondary Immune Response (Differences between Primary and Secondary Immune Response, 2018)
Figure 2. Each human immuno-globulin isotype has specialized functions and a unique distribution (Charles A Janeway, 2001)
MBCs, on the other hand, can quickly be reactivated after re-exposure (Barbara J. Hebeis, 2004) (Tomohiro Kurosaki, 2015). It is not necessary to keep the antibody expression plasma cell at a high level for a long time after the patient is recovered and viruses are cleared. The decline of the antibodies does not necessarily means loss of immunity, while the immune system has memory to protect us from reinfection.
3. Low level of high-affinity neutralizing antibodies may be enough to ensure the effectiveness of protective immunity
Although some patients show undetectable antibody levels by serology kits (Quan-Xin Long, 2020), whether the detection threshold is the same as the protective immunity threshold has not been studied thoroughly, yet. Among all types of antibodies, neutralizing antibodies that only consist a very small portion of total virus-specific antibodies play an important role in viral protection as the first response (Chapter 6 - Immunity and Resistance to Viruses, 2017) (Laura A. VanBlargan, 2016). Such antibodies may be enough for protective threshold even if its level is far below the detection threshold.
Rogers T. et al isolated SARS-CoV-2 antibodies from a small animal model and found only a small portion of the virus specific antibodies are neutralizing antibodies while the majority are binding antibodies (Thomas F. Rogers, 2020). Binding antibodies are likely to trigger opsonization by activating the complement system, and neutralizing antibodies block the entrance of viruses and the following amplification in hosts.
Among all neutralizing antibodies, the ones that neutralize the RBD domain have the best potency, make up the least amount of antibodies present (0.2-0.4%) (Thomas F. Rogers, 2020). It is very likely that the most effective antibodies may not be detectable long after infection but still function well, especially in the early secondary immune response that blocks virus entrance to the human body, leaving enough time for MBCs to proliferate and produce more antibodies for opsonization.
Fig. 3 Antibody isolation and functional screening for SARS-CoV antigen binding and neutralization. (A) Antibody downselection process from 3 donors, presented as bubble plots. The areas of the bubbles for each donor are sized, based on the number of antibodies that were cloned and transfected, then scaled according to the number that were positive in subsequent assays. All antibodies that expressed at measurable levels were tested for binding to S protein and RBD to determine their specificity, and then screened for neutralization.
Fig. 4 Antibody functional activity by epitope specificities. Monoclonal antibody epitope binning was completed using RBD and SARS-CoV-2 S protein as target antigens.(C) MAbs were evaluated for neutralization of SARS-CoV-2 pseudovirus using HeLa-ACE2 target cells (Thomas F. Rogers, 2020)
Why do we still need an antibody test?
With the total infected population worldwide reaching 9.7 million as of June 25, 2020, it will be challenging to continue to enforce strict lockdown measures. Therefore we need a strategic approach to re-open society based on local herd immunity to lessen the impact on the economy and people's daily life. Thus, knowing the percentage of people with immunity determined by antibody testing becomes extremely important.
1. Antibody tests are critical to ensure herd immunity specifically when a decline of immunity over time is expected
Herd immunity requires that a percentage of immuned individuals reach a specific threshold over a certain period of time. In case immunity fades, constant monitoring of changes in the population dynamics by antibody tests is extremely important to plan community re-opening and prevent new outbreaks. Once an effective vaccine is developed, it is also necessary to monitor the duration of vaccine effectiveness by antibody tests.
2. Durability of immunity against virus and correlation to antibody levels has not been thoroughly studied in COVID-19 cases
Only total antibodies and neutralizing antibodies level in the convalescence stage are measured in Dr. Huang's research in Wanzhou. (Quan-Xin Long, 2020) There is no conclusive result using animal models or clinical studies to measure the duration of immunity for COVID-19 against reinfection, yet. Monitoring the durability of immunity against a highly contagious disease is necessary for epidemiology to collect information, build models, and work out a strategic disease control plan in a pandemic situation.
Conclusion
Which type of antibody test better measures immunity?
High-affinity IgG and IgM that functions as virus-neutralizing antibodies are extremely important. The regular COVID-19 antibody tests measure the quantity of total IgG and IgM, and the neutralizing antibody make up a small fraction of total antibody, thus the tests may not be able to tell if adaptive immunity has been achieved. Virus neutralization assay that mimics virus - antibody interaction can tell the potency of virus neutralization capability, which are truly effective for the immediate immune response to reinfection. As the virus-blocking potency of neutralizing antibodies could vary because each type will target different surface proteins (Thomas F. Rogers, 2020), therefore choosing the test that measures neutralization of the right virus target will draw a more reliable conclusion than others.
Are antibody tests useful at all?
Although a small scale clinical study showed that the SARS-CoV-2 specific antibody decrease in the convalescence stage, it does not lead to the conclusion that the immunity against the virus will not last long. With the strong potency of neutralizing antibodies to block virus entrance and long-term immunity by long-lived plasma cells (LLPC) and memory b cells (MBC), the immunity against reinfection is unlikely to diminish quickly and herd immunity will still be effective. Monitoring such acquired immunity in COVID-19 cases by antibody tests and the risk of reinfection by clinical follow-up can help us better plan the reopening and control pandemic situation with the theory of herd immunity. The antibody tests that directly measure virus blocking function rather than total antibody quantity can draw more reliable conclusions, thus better serve as "immunity passports".
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References
Barbara J. Hebeis, K. K. (2004). Activation of Virus-specific Memory B Cells. J. Exp. Med., 199: 593–602.
Brandtzaeg P, J. F. (2005). B cells: phenotypic characteristics, transcriptional regulation, and homing properties. Immunol Rev, 206:32–63 doi: 10.1111/j.0105-2896.2005.00283.x.
Chapter 6 - Immunity and Resistance to Viruses. (2017). In S. Payne, Viruses - From Understanding to Investigation (pp. 61-71). Elsevier Inc.
Charles A Janeway, J. P. (2001). The distribution and functions of immunoglobulin isotypes. In J. P. Charles A Janeway, Immunobiology: The Immune System in Health and Disease. 5th edition. New York: Garland Science.
Differences between Primary and Secondary Immune Response. (2018, May 17). Retrieved from Learn Microbiology Online: https://microbeonline.com/differences-between-primary-secondary-immune-response/
Laura A. VanBlargan, L. G. (2016). Deconstructing the Antiviral Neutralizing-Antibody Response: Implications for Vaccine Development and Immunity. Microbiology and Molecular Biology Reviews , 80: 989-1010.
Mohn, K. G.-L. (2015). Immune Responses in Acute and Convalescent Patients with Mild, Moderate and Severe Disease during the 2009 Influenza Pandemic in Norway. PloS one, 10(11), e0143281.
Quan-Xin Long, X.-J. T.-L.-J.-L.-J.-M.-J.-F.-L. (2020). Clinical and immunological assessment of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections. Nature Medicine.
Shivana M. Lightman*, A. U. (2019). Survival of Long-Lived Plasma Cells (LLPC): Piecing Together the Puzzle. Front. Immunol., DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2019.00965.
Thomas F. Rogers, F. Z.-T. (2020). Isolation of potent SARS-CoV-2 neutralizing antibodies and protection from disease in a small animal model. Science, Online, 0.1126/science.abc7520.
Tomohiro Kurosaki, K. K. (2015). Memory B cells. NATURE REVIEWS IMMUNOLOGY, 15:149-159.
What's Herd Immunity, and How Does It Protect Us? (2018, November 30). Retrieved from WebMD: https://www.webmd.com/vaccines/news/20181130/what-herd-immunity-and-how-does-it-protect-us
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IgG/IgM antibody test will help to trace in a much more population-based way who has had the infection, because many cases seem to be spread from asymptomatic patients who can’t be identified easily. A couple in Singapore, the husband tested positive by PCR,His wife’s PCR test result was negative, but the antibody test results,showed she had antibodies, as did her husband. So Antibody tests are useful in tracing back the past patients
Antibody tests may be useful at a first level. However, it appears that a certain percentage of the population can have a positive result with these tests even though they are every unlikely to have actually contracted COVID-19. It would be good to know whether these people have effective immunity against the current virus and if not, how to distinguish between the subgroups with the antibody test.
Why I feel Antibody tests are not useful: Firstly, We know that the antibodies for the SARS-CoV-2 last only for about 2-3 months. Antibodies most commonly are detectable 1-3 weeks after symptom onset, at which time evidence suggests that infectiousness likely is greatly decreased So from this we can know: 1. These antibodies are only temporary. 2. Even if you recover from COVID-19 you’ll have these antibodies. Other limitations: 3. False-positive results are higher (False positive - Even if you are not affected by COVID-19, Your antibody test results may come positive. ) 4. Cross-reactivity - These tests also identify antibodies for other coronaviruses(Like common cold). Given the above limitation, I think other accurate and more reliable tests like RT-PCR can be adopted.
A lot of people hear these terms, such as “herd immunity” and “vaccine” over and over again, but do not understand how it actually works. Our immunity systems are robust and have “memories”. I would not be surprised to see the antibody level declines over time. Obviously, when the “enemy” is gone, our bodies do not need to keep a large “army”. We only need to keep a small group of “clone troopers” who know how to fight a specific type of enemy and can simply clone more when the same enemies are back. And don’t forget the “special force” such as neutralizing antibodies. A tiny amount of neutralizing antibodies can stop the invasion and further replication of the viruses, and they reside in long-lived plasma cells (LLPC) for quite long, while the majority of biding antibodies fade away. I still believe “herd immunity” will work, but in a systematic way with the assistance of serology tests, especially those that detect neutralizing antibodies.
Antibody test may be used as an indicator of immunity for epidemiological research though we haven't identified the threshold for full protection, because it takes time to investigate and validate. That's why a lot of pubilications mentioned ADE (antibody dependent enhancement) and called for further research on ADE. At present, the physical isolation - social distancing/WFH can help to minimize the risk of infection; and the nucleic acid detection and Ab test will show you scientific evidence whether you are infected and accordingly, you might be more comfortable and confident to deal with things related to COVID-19. Stay safe! Let's wait for more discoveries on this novel coronavirus and the prevention method(s) (i.e., vaccine).